The figure stands in for a pattern that carries the whole series: decision without enforcement. Laws are passed, but the capacity to carry them out is missing. The gap between what is decided and what actually happens is the diagnosis.

For context: of the 232,067 people obliged to leave at the end of 2025, about 191,000 (roughly 82 percent) hold a “Duldung” — a legally final removal decision that is not enforced (Central Register of Foreigners, as of 31 December 2025). That is exactly the point: the decision stands, the enforcement is missing.

Migration here is less a problem of law than of enforcement and contract: separate the four strands — asylum, labour migration, integration, return — cleanly, and steer each as a reciprocal contract.